Behind these projections is a highly optimized model that utilizes state of the art forecasting technology and a large high quality dataset for time series predictions.
You can see the accuracy for yourself in the freely available 2023 Point Projections Here.
The dataset is about as robust as I could hope for at this point, with weekly player data going back decades, statistics related to coaching, teammates, and what happens when those variables change for any reason such as injuries or trades. The published model rankings are optimized to predict each year from week 1, so they’re currently specifically tuned for drafting players before the season begins.
The plan for this website is to first publish my 2024 Draft Rankings (Done!), and then come out with a similar weekly model which will be better suited to shorter term and mid season predictions. Expect that model to be released before week 1! The draft rankings will be updated as frequently as possible to reflect any relevant roster changes or injuries that occur between now and week 1.
Choose your plan
As a member, you'll gain access to just the draft rankings for Standard, PPR, and Half-PPR scoring formats.
Unlock access to the neural network's numerical predictions. The model predicts for Standard, PPR, and HPPR formats. This will give you relative player value and is exceptionally useful for drafting.
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This tier will give you full access to the model's outputs, which include quantile predictions that show a player's potential ceiling and floor, as well as a middle point range for each week of the coming season.